Skip to content

Wissenschaftliche Arbeiten

Maschinelles Lernen, statistische Modellierung, Kausalinferenz und Datenanalyse: Universität zu Köln und LSE.

Statistische Theorie

A Test for the Practical Relevance of Endogeneity in Semiparametric Distribution Regression

MSc Thesis | University of Cologne, Empirical Methods & Data Analysis | 2026 | Supervised by Prof. Dr. Dominik Wied

Forschungsarbeit in Vorbereitung
Statistical Theory Distribution Regression Semiparametric Econometrics Instrumental Variables Asymptotic Theory Monte Carlo Simulation Model Validation R

Develops a novel test for whether endogeneity is practically relevant in semiparametric distribution regression — addressing a known weakness of classical Hausman-type tests, which detect even economically negligible endogeneity in large samples. The test measures the L²-distance between a naive DR estimator and an IV/control-function DR estimator, and compares it against a researcher-chosen threshold Δ. The test statistic is self-normalized and asymptotically pivotal — its limiting distribution is a ratio of Brownian-motion functionals requiring no bootstrap. Applied to Card's (1995) returns-to-education data: endogeneity is practically relevant for high-education workers (d̂ = 0.195, rejected for all Δ), but not for the middle profile — a finding the scalar Wu–Hausman test misses entirely.

Vollständige Analyse Aktueller Entwurf

Quantitative Politikanalyse

The Effect of Cash Transfers on Political Support

LSE, Quantitative Methods | 2024

Extension of Manacorda, Miguel & Vigorito (2011), AEJ: Applied Economics

Regression Discontinuity Design Predictive Modelling Stata Causal Inference Robustness Testing Data Visualisation

Independently developed end-to-end RDD pipeline in Stata extending a published AEJ paper — McCrary density test, placebo regressions on covariates, OLS main regressions, donut-hole robustness checks, bandwidth sensitivity analysis, and local polynomial models. Finds a robust ~10% causal increase in political support from Uruguay's PANES cash transfer programme. Results communicated through publication-quality visualisations and a research poster.

Vollständige Analyse Full Report Poster

Distribution Sensitive Policy Analysis based on WELLBYs: Constructing a Prioritarian Social Welfare Function through Causal Evidence on Life Satisfaction

MSc Dissertation | LSE, Behavioural Science | 2024 | Supervised by Dr. Christian Krekel

MSc Dissertation
Difference-in-Differences Machine Learning (PSM) Panel Data Large-Scale Survey Data Stata Data Visualisation

First study to construct a Prioritarian Social Welfare Function using life satisfaction (WELLBYs). Applied DiD and Propensity Score Matching on the large-scale HILDA longitudinal panel (17,000+ households, 20 annual waves) to extract distributional patterns in well-being and causally estimate the impact of Victoria's COVID-19 lockdown — finding significant harm concentrated in the worst-off. Results visualised and fed into an Atkinson SWF to compare welfare scenarios.

Vollständige Analyse Full Dissertation

Verhaltenswissenschaft & Messphilosophie

A data scientist who understands why people behave as they do extracts richer insight from behavioral datasets than one who models patterns alone. This work demonstrates applied knowledge of cognitive mechanisms, decision-making under uncertainty, and the theoretical foundations of behavioral measurement — a direct complement to large-scale data analysis involving human actors.

A Dual-Process Model of Self-Defeating Behaviours

LSE, Fundamentals of Behavioural Science | 2023

Dual-Process Theory Nudge Theory Intervention Design

Applies dual-process theory to analyse cognitive mechanisms behind self-defeating behaviours, proposes a typology of cost-effective interventions, and evaluates the autonomy–welfare trade-off in paternalistic policy design.

Read Essay PDF

Well-Being is Measurable After All: A Case for the Differential Realization View

LSE, Philosophy of Economics | 2024

Well-Being Measurement Psychometrics Policy Metrics

Argues that well-being is measurable for policy purposes despite heterogeneity. Makes an original case for the Differential Realization view over Contextualism, providing the philosophical foundations for using life satisfaction in the MSc dissertation.

Read Essay PDF

Bachelorarbeiten, Universität zu Köln

Experimental Measurement of Provided Effort in Medical Processes by Diagnostic Indicator Tasks

Bachelor's Thesis | University of Cologne | 2023 | Supervised by Prof. Dr. Daniel Wiesen

Establishes an experimental methodology to assess the level of effort exerted by physicians in diagnostic decision-making, contributing to healthcare economics research on physician behaviour.

Incentives vs. Commitment

Seminar Thesis | University of Cologne | Supervised by Prof. Dr. Daniel Wiesen

Explores the relationship between external incentives and internal commitment mechanisms in healthcare settings, drawing on principal-agent theory and behavioural economics.